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The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?
This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.
'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday
'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent.
Автор | Талеб Н. Н. |
---|---|
ISBN | 978-0-141-03459-1 |
Жанр | Non-Fiction |
Издательство | Penguin Books |
Возраст | 16+ |
Год издания | 2020 |
Переплет | Мягкая обложка |
Количество страниц | 400 |
Страна производитель | Россия |
Язык | Английский |